Summarium

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Potestas usoris

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Licet hoc documentum exscribere vel distribuere vel demutare sub GNU Liberarum Litterarum Licentiae conditionibus in editione 1.2 aut in ulla editione recentiori a Fundatione Liberarum Programmationis Partium publicata; praeterquam Sectiones Immutabiles et Verba Involucra Adversa et Aversa. Licentiae exemplar praesto est in sectione intitulata GNU Free Documentation License.http://www.gnu.org/copyleft/fdl.htmlGFDLGNU Free Documentation Licensetruetrue

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	Attributio: Hankwang at Anglica Vicipaedia
	Tibi licet: communicare – copiare, distribuere et committere hoc opus to remix – to adapt the work His condicionibus: attributio – You must give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made. You may do so in any reasonable manner, but not in any way that suggests the licensor endorses you or your use. aequa parte – If you remix, transform, or build upon the material, you must distribute your contributions under the same or compatible license as the original.
	This licensing tag was added to this file as part of the GFDL licensing update.http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/CC BY-SA 3.0Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 3.0truetrue

This file is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 2.5 Generic license.

Attributio: Hankwang at Anglica Vicipaedia

Tibi licet:

• communicare – copiare, distribuere et committere hoc opus
• to remix – to adapt the work

His condicionibus:

• attributio – You must give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made. You may do so in any reasonable manner, but not in any way that suggests the licensor endorses you or your use.

https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5CC BY 2.5 Creative Commons Attribution 2.5 truetrue

Tibi typum permissionis ligere licet.

Data

Data file "hcurve.dat"

1850 0
1879.97 0.0273319
1898.53 0.150325
1913.26 0.423644
1921.36 0.881453
1923.28 1.14794
1926.76 1.36659
1929.46 1.27093
1933.38 1.72874
1936.78 1.94056
1939.13 2.11822
1942.27 2.66486
1944.19 2.60336
1945.32 3.15
1945.76 3.36182
1946.89 3.39599
1948.81 4.12028
1951.94 4.94024
1956.12 6.91497
1960.04 8.52072
1965.01 9.72332
1970.06 10.7551
1978.95 11.78
1986 12.33  # 12.35
1986.36 12.35  # 12.3608
1992.54 12.55  # 12.6
2001 12.6
2007.97 12.3882
2016.85 11.7254
2023.82 10.9054
2029.23 10.0855
2038.11 8.02191
2045.08 6.23167
2055.54 4.59859
2061.29 3.71714
2078.37 2.38471
2091.09 1.83807
2111.21 1.16844
2132.13 0.744794
2149.81 0.532972
2177.26 0.286985
2200 0.198156

Gnuplot script

set xlab 'Year'
set ylab 'Production (10^9 bbls/yr)    '
set nogrid
unset key

set label 2 'cumulative' at 1860,6  textcolor lt 3
set label 3 'production' at 1860,5  textcolor lt 3
set label 1 '90x10^9 bbls' at 1860,4  textcolor lt 3
set label 4 '250x10^9 bbls' at 1875,11.5  textcolor lt  2
set label 5 'proven reserves' at 1875,12.5  textcolor lt 2
set label 6 'Future discoveries' at 2060,6 textcolor lt 7
set label 7 '910x10^9 bbls' at 2060,5 textcolor lt 7

set term svg size 600 400 fsize 18 enhanced
set outp 'Hubbert_peak_oil_plot.svg'
plot \
  'hcurve.dat' usi ($1>=1986.36?$1:1/0):2 wi filledcurves y1=0 lt 7, \
  'hcurve.dat' usi ($1<=1986.36?$1:1/0):2 wi filledcurves y1=0, \
  'hcurve.dat' usi ($1<1956.5?$1:1/0):2 wi filledcurves y1=0

Original upload log

• 2007-03-04 12:57 Hankwang 600×400×0 (7794 bytes) New presentation of data in figure 20 of http://www.hubbertpeak.com/hubbert/1956/1956.pdf